No. 2 Cincinnati Bearcats (-27.5, 49) at Navy Midshipmen
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS as a favorite.
Since the 1978 FBS/FCS split, Navy has 18-6-1 ATS versus AP top-10 teams, the best in FBS (min. 15 games). Since joining the AAC in 2015, Navy is 32-17-2 ATS in conference games, including 14-6 in its last 20.
Navy’s longest string as a double-digit underdog since 2000 is five games (3-1 ATS) (also five straight).
This is Navy’s biggest underdog under Ken Niumatalolo (first full season as head coach was in 2008). Previous favored No. 11 UCF by 24 points in 2018. Since the 1978 FBS/FCS split, the Midshipmen are 22-9 ATS as 24-point underdogs, the best in FBS (min. 20 games).
Under Luke Fickell, Cincinnati’s road record is 16-7. (since 2017).
No. 3 Oklahoma Sooners at. Kansas Jayhawks
Lincoln Riley’s Sooners are 16-24 ATS as double-digit favorites (since 2017). When favored by 35 or more points, Riley’s Sooners are 4-3 ATS.
This is Kansas’ 104th straight conference underdog game, the longest active streak in FBS. UNLV and UConn have 23 consecutive wins.
Kansas is one of five teams without an ATS win this season (Indiana, Clemson, Missouri and New Mexico).
Kansas has failed to cover seven straight home underdog games, second-longest in FBS behind Akron (11 straight).
Kansas has covered four straight games against AP top-10 opponents, an FBS record (Arizona State, Army and Air Force).
Northwestern at No. 6 Michigan
Jim Harbaugh’s Michigan team is 5-1 ATS through six games (since 2015). Michigan is 4-11 ATS in its past 15 games after more than six days rest, 4-8 under Harbaugh.
Pat Fitzgerald’s Wildcats are 33-18 ATS as road underdogs since 2006, including 14-4 since 2015. Since 2015, only Purdue (15-4 ATS) is better (min. 15 games).
Since 2015, Northwestern is 20-9 ATS on the road and 11-4-1 as a double-digit underdog. Last five seasons, Northwestern is 25-12 ATS in conference games. No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (-23.5, 46.5).
James Franklin’s Penn State is 4-20-1 ATS after a loss (since 2014).
Penn State has beaten Illinois three straight times (3-1 ATS overall under Franklin). Penn State’s last five favored games were covered.
Penn State hasn’t covered four straight 20-point conference favorites.
Penn State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a double-digit favorite, while Illinois is 1-5 ATS in its last six. Illinois has four straight unders.
No. 16 Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Army Black Knights
Dave Clawson is 2-9-1 ATS as a road favorite since 2014, the worst in FBS (min. five games).
Stanford Week 8 college football picks, bets, nuggets 217d Chris Fallica and Steve Coughlin Jeff Monken’s Army is 25-16-1 ATS as an underdog (since 2014).
Under Monken, Army is 7-0 against rated opponents. Four straight games have gone under, including 3-0 with Clawson and Monken in charge.
Purdue Boilermakers (-25, 40) at Wisconsin Badgers (3 ET)
Wisconsin is 3-11 ATS against ranked opponents since 2018, including seven straight defeats (Maryland).
Since 2003, Wisconsin has covered 11 of 15 meetings.
Wisconsin is 20-9 ATS as a road favorite under Paul Chryst (since 2015). Jeff Brohm’s Purdue is 16-6 as an underdog (since 2017).
Purdue games this season have gone under 6-0. Boilermakers are the only team with no overs this season.
No. 8 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones
This is the third time since the 1978 FBS/FCS split where an AP top-10 team is a six-point underdog to an unranked opponent. Unranked USC teams have covered the spread twice.
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Mike Gundy is 10-3 against Iowa State since 2005.
Oklahoma State road games since 2019 are 10-3 under. Under Matt Campbell, Iowa State is 15-8 ATS versus ranked opponents, including 5-2 against AP top-10 teams.
Under Campbell, Iowa State is 15-8 against ranked opponents, 11-4 since 2018.
No. 10 Oregon vs. UCLA (-2, 59.5), 3:30 ET, ABC
Oregon is 1-5 ATS, including four straight losses.
Oregon is 5-1 ATS between -3 and +3 since 2018. (first full season under Mario Cristobal). Six straight conference games.
Chip Kelly’s UCLA is 3-8 ATS at home (since 2018).
UCLA has lost 10 straight ranked games since 2011.
LSU vs. No. 12 Ole Miss, 3:30 ET
LSU underdogs are 11-4 ATS since 2017. (first full season under Ed Orgeron).
Since 2017, LSU is 15-8-1 versus ranked teams.
LSU’s conference ATS record since 2017 is 23-14-1. (2-2 ATS this season).
This would be Ole Miss’s greatest advantage over LSU since October 30, 1993. (L, 19-17).
Four meetings have overshot.
Clemson vs. No. 23 Pittsburgh
Clemson has won 43 straight ACC games and 48 straight overall (including conference championship games). Both streaks are second to Alabama’s (52 and 57). Both streaks are second-longest since the 1978 FBS/FCS split behind Florida State, which was favored in its first 96 ACC games (1992-2003).
Clemson has failed to cover seven straight games dating to last season, tied for second-longest in FBS. Only Missouri (10) is more active. Clemson’s underdog record since 2009 is 18-10. (first full season under Dabo Swinney).
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS as a favorite.
Since 2015, Pittsburgh is 11-5-2 ATS when the line is -3 to +3.
No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers
Alabama has covered eight straight home favorites, the longest streak in FBS.
Nick Saban is 10-4 ATS against Tennessee since 2007.
Alabama is 14-6 ATS in 20 double-digit games.
Tennessee hasn’t covered six of its last 20 AP top-five games since 2009. Josh Heupel is 1-4 ATS versus AP top-15 teams, though none were top-five.
Tennessee hasn’t covered six of 20 double-digit underdog games since 2015. This will be Heupel’s second double-digit underdog (0-1 ATS with Tennessee).